Originally Posted by MSCA
Yeah, Popular Science magazine said the same thing back in the 70s. A gasoline-powered car would be unheard of by the next century. Well, we're about 15 years into that next century and gasoline-powered vehicles outsell electric vehicles by what, about 10,000:1?
Gasoline vehicles will continue to be sold in large numbers for the foreseeable future. The problem really boils down to battery technology and cost. We still need to see huge breakthroughs in battery technology to get a decent driving range at a decent cost before the masses will be willing to give up their gas cars for an electric. That just ain't gonna happen in the next 11 years for sure....
Gas is on the way out, sorry.
There is a huge difference b/n the 70's and today. A few points:
- the tesla is actually a car that looks hot (compared to junk like prius)
- the tesla is very powerful (destroys many cars in 0-60)
- the volt lets you drive on battery for a while before switching over to gas when needed
- tesla has installed power charging stations all over the place and continues to do this
- tesla also has the ability to drop your battery and install a replacement in less time then it takes to fill my empty jeep with gas.
Battery capacity is still not in the same range as my jeep, but they are working on it and getting better, and the points above make the battery capacity less of an issue.
Let's face it, the tesla has advantages over gas too; for a start, a lot less engine maintenance (there is none).
The volt is still ugly, and it costs too much for me; but if they made a tesla that competes with a camry (same cost, maybe a couple thousand increase; but same size, class etc), it would be a game changer for many more people.