Originally Posted by OsoAlaskaJeep
Couldn't have said it better myself. I have owned 2 Saharas, and both maintained an amazing resale value
they do have good resale compared to other wrangler and certainly wrangler at all trims is above average compared to other vehicles. But a lot of that elevated resale is at increasing downward pressure risk from now out.
Downward pressure on resale of a 2016 or 2017 JK in 2019-2021 includes:
1) increasing MPG disadvantage relative to all vehicles
2) #1 amplified by any rise in real dollar gas prices which have been at near 100 year real dollar lows the past three years. In therwords the very long tredn is flat but we are in a very low valley sub-oscilation on gas costs the past couple of years, which increases relative
value of gas guzzlers
3) Increasing safety disadvantage, both in in-accident injury risk, and accident mitigation, relative to average of pool of other vehicles available new and used
You and I and a good deal of other people may not be comparing Wrangler to competition because some proportion, likely a large one, including me, don't see any competitive choice. But some of the market is looking at other vehicles. I know some 2-door JK owners who were also considering alternate fun convertible like miata or mini. I know some Sahara buyers who were also looking at CRV, Outback/Forester, Rav4, Highlander, Pilot, etc I know some who were also considering 4runner. Most? Likly not. En
I'm not not saying these trends will tank resale values, but the position the JK was in the past five years relative ot other vehicles was low impact of its negatives, and those negatives will increase in impact an d erode some
of the resale advantage. Or, in other words a lot of variables that would put upward pressure on JK resale relative to the market are at likely peaks right now.
Part of the excellent resale being at a higher risk in future is also likely not a major factor for most buyers. It is not for me and may not be for you. But I would caution the small segment of buyers making a marginal affordability purchase from depending on that high resale being fully present in future.