You can get most year end models $7-8K off regardless of trim. It's all based on dealer inventory, location, trim, hell even color. Nobody will be able to give you a solid answer so I would check out places like KBB, NADA, Cars.com, etc and do market research. Research, research, research.
We just agreed to terms on a Limited X with all the goodies and the V8. If you are looking at 4WD there are 5000-5500 in incentives in most areas right now. There are also some killer lease terms ( 0.027% interest or MF of 0.00001 for 36/12K). MSRP for this one was a little over $55K and we agreed to cap cost right under $48K, so MDK's estimate is pretty accurate.
Keep in mind that the 2020's don't have the same rebates, so if you get tempted, you're paying 5K more for basically the same car. But, with the 2020's out there are no new 2019's so you have to be more flexible on options. I didn't really want the safety group or the full size spare, but had to take it to find the V8 and the color we wanted.